Summary of earnings call for Mahanagar Gas Ltd published on 07 Nov, 2025
Mahanagar Gas Limited
Q2 FY26
Call date · October 30, 2025
1 · Management Commentary
Key Positives
- Consolidation of Unison Enviro Private Limited (UEPL) completed, with all financials now reported as a single entity.
- Strong infrastructure expansion: 53,566 new domestic household connections, 87.4 km of pipeline laid, 14 new CNG stations (total 485), and 116 new industrial/commercial customers added in the quarter.
- CNG vehicle base increased by 27,150 to over 1.22 million.
- Overall average sales volume grew 3.11% QoQ and 9.22% YoY to 4.593 MMSCMD.
- H1 FY26 volumes up 9.91% YoY; H1 EBITDA at INR839 crores.
Key Negatives
- EBITDA for Q2 declined to INR338 crores from INR501 crores in Q1; PAT fell to INR193 crores from INR320 crores.
- Margins compressed due to higher gas costs (APM and NWG allocation reductions, increased spot RLNG/HPHT procurement, adverse exchange rate, and higher opex).
- Industrial/commercial segment margins impacted by lower alternate fuel prices and bulk LPG price reductions.
Forward Guidance
- Capex plans: INR900–1,000 crores for MGL GAs and INR150–200 crores for UEPL GAs in FY26 (total INR1,100–1,200 crores).
- Targeting ~80 new CNG stations in FY26; 17 completed as of Q2.
- New business initiatives (EV battery manufacturing, EV investments, LNG retail) to have minimal near-term P&L impact; IBC plant capex ~INR800 crores, expected topline INR1,000 crores post-commissioning (1–2 years out).
- Margin guidance revised to INR8.5–9 per SCM for H2 FY26, with potential improvement in Q4 as new HPHT term contracts commence.
- Focus remains on volume growth (targeting ~10% YoY), with price hikes to be calibrated based on market dynamics.
- Ongoing evaluation of M&A/consolidation opportunities; no new GAs announced.
- Tax benefits expected from amalgamation, with ~INR35 crores benefit over FY24–25 and lower effective tax rate in coming years.
2 · Q&A Highlights
Q 1 (Composite): What drove the margin decline in Q2, and how will margins evolve in H2 FY26?
A (Management):
- Margin decline due to higher gas costs (lower APM/NWG allocation, increased spot RLNG/HPHT, adverse FX, higher opex).
- Margin guidance for Q3 at INR8.5 per SCM; Q4 expected to improve with new HPHT term contracts and potential APM price softening.
- Focus on balancing volume growth and margin; price hikes to be considered cautiously.
Q 2 (Composite): Can you detail the gas sourcing mix and landed costs?
A (Management):
- Q2 sourcing: APM ~1.68–1.7 MMSCMD, NWG ~0.3–0.35, Henry Hub term ~1.45, HPHT (incl. RIL) ~0.6, spot RLNG/HPHT ~0.3–0.4.
- Landed costs: APM INR24–25/SCM, NWG/HPHT INR32–38, RLNG up to INR40–42/SCM.
Q 3 (Composite): What are the capex plans and station rollout targets for FY26?
A (Management):
- FY26 capex: INR900–1,000 crores (MGL), INR150–200 crores (UEPL).
- Targeting ~80 new CNG stations in FY26; 17 completed by Q2, with most additions expected in Q4 post-monsoon.
Q 4 (Composite): How is the company addressing the impact of Maharashtra’s EV policy and new business adjacencies?
A (Management):
- EV policy expected to have limited near-term impact on CNG volumes, especially in Mumbai due to infrastructure and operational constraints.
- New businesses (EV battery, 3EV, LNG retail) are early-stage; minimal near-term P&L impact, but potential for significant contribution in 7–8 years.
Q 5 (Composite): What is the outlook for volume growth and margin sustainability?
A (Management):
- H1 FY26 volume growth at 9.9% YoY; targeting ~10% for full year.
- Margin guidance revised to INR8.5–9 per SCM for H2; focus remains on volume-led profitability.
- Commercial vehicle segment targeted via ongoing fleet incentive programs and infrastructure expansion.
Q 6 (Composite): What are the financial/tax benefits from the UEPL amalgamation?
A (Management):
- Tax benefit of ~INR35 crores over FY24–25 from license cost depreciation; lower effective tax rate expected for next 2–3 years.
- GST savings on intra-group transactions; no immediate impact on general reserves due to deferred tax recognition.
Q 7 (Composite): Any updates on new GAs, M&A, or listing of new ventures?
A (Management):
- No new GAs or M&A finalized; company remains open to opportunities.
- No immediate plans to list IBC or other new ventures; focus is on commissioning and ramp-up.
Q 8 (Composite): How are incentive schemes structured for CNG and industrial/commercial customers?
A (Management):
- Fleet program for CNG commercial vehicles now runs year-round, with digital incentives and loyalty benefits.
- Incentives for retrofitment based on remaining vehicle life; MOUs with bulk buyers (e.g., state transport).
- Industrial/commercial segment offered volume-based incentives and waivers to drive growth.
3 · Other Key Numbers
- Total households connected: 2.94 million.
- Total pipeline length: 8,061.62 km.
- Total CNG stations: 485 as of September 30, 2025.
- Total industrial/commercial customers: 5,316.
- Total CNG vehicles: >1.22 million.
- Q2 average sales volume: 4.593 MMSCMD (CNG: 3.255, DPNG: 0.582, Industrial/Commercial: 0.757).
- H1 FY26 average sales volume: 4.524 MMSCMD (CNG: 3.22, PNG: 0.576, Industrial/Commercial: 0.727).
- Q2 EBITDA: INR338 crores; Q2 PAT: INR193 crores.
- H1 EBITDA: INR839 crores; H1 PAT: INR513 crores.
- Q2 EBITDA per SCM: INR8 (down from INR9.68 in Q1).
- GA-wise Q2 volumes: GA1 ~1.95–2 MMSCMD, GA2 ~1.95–2, GA3 (Raigarh) ~0.35, UEPL GAs ~0.25.
- GA-wise YoY growth: GA1 ~6–7%, GA2 ~10–12%, GA3 >15%.
- Vehicles added: Q2 – 27,150; H1 FY26 – 59,400 (vs. 44,500 in H1 FY25); October 2025 – ~10,000.
- IBC battery plant capex: ~INR800 crores; expected topline: INR1,000 crores (at 1 GW capacity).
- Tax benefit from amalgamation: ~INR35 crores over FY24–25.
- Staff cost increase in Q2: ~INR10 crores QoQ (due to pay revision, actuarial valuation, LTA, and awards).
- Other income decline attributed to lower mutual fund returns, removal of certain fees, and digitalization impacts.
- No specific numbers disclosed for CBG blending proportion; management suggests blended APM+CBG price at INR6.98–6.99/MMBtu.
- LNG stations: 2 operational, 3 more planned in FY26.
- No new GAs or M&A announced; company remains open to opportunities.